Machine leaming for weather and dimate are worlds apart
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Climate projections: CMIP6
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Sources of uncertainty
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Exploring parametric uncertainty
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Emulation
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Sampling
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Constraining parametric uncertainty
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ESEm: Earth System Emulator
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Exploring scenario uncertainty
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Hackathon Models
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LSTM Model
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Causal Effect of Aerosol on Cloud Type
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Summary
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ClimateBench overview
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Implausibility
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Cloud Types Along Trajectories
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Evaluation
Description:
Explore Earth System Emulation in this 45-minute conference talk from the Machine Learning for Climate KITP conference. Delve into the challenges of informing society about future climate changes at regional and local scales, and discover how big data and machine learning algorithms are revolutionizing climate science. Learn about the opportunities for descriptive inference, causal questions, and theory validation in climate research. Examine the integration of machine learning with modeling experiments and model parameterizations to address complex climate questions. Gain insights into topics such as CMIP6 climate projections, sources of uncertainty, parametric uncertainty exploration, emulation techniques, and the Earth System Emulator (ESEm). Explore scenario uncertainty, various machine learning models including LSTM, and the causal effects of aerosols on cloud types. Understand the ClimateBench overview, implausibility concepts, and methods for evaluating cloud types along trajectories in this comprehensive presentation by Duncan Watson-Parris.
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Earth System Emulation - Duncan Watson-Parris #CLIMATE-C21