Explore a fascinating TED talk where Bruce Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates his mathematical approach to predicting complex human events such as wars, political power shifts, and Intifadas. Gain insights into his methodology and hear three specific predictions about Iran's future. Discover how this innovative thinker applies mathematical analysis to forecast messy geopolitical scenarios with remarkable accuracy. Learn about the intersection of mathematics, political science, and predictive modeling in this thought-provoking 20-minute presentation.