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Intro
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Decisions, decisions..
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Outline of the talk
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Majority class decision rule
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Adapting to deployment context 17-1/31
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1. Introducing ROC curves and calibration
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Logistic calibration from first principles
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Example of inverse-sigmoidal distortion
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Beta calibration from first principles
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A rich parametric family
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Beta-calibration is easily implemented
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Precision-Recall-Gain Curves
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Model calibrated for F-score In-1/21
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ROC curves and Precision-Recall curves
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Properties of ROC curves
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F-score calibration
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Perspective: Towards a measurement theory for ML
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Measuring things
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Concatenation and scales
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Concatenating confusion matrices
Description:
Explore the intersection of machine learning and decision-making in this comprehensive lecture from the Alan Turing Institute's conference on decision support and recommender systems. Delve into topics such as majority class decision rules, ROC curves, logistic and beta calibration, precision-recall-gain curves, and F-score calibration. Learn how to adapt machine learning models to deployment contexts and gain insights into the development of a measurement theory for ML. Discover the potential of AI techniques in supporting complex decision-making processes across various domains, including management, health, urban planning, and sustainability.

Better Decisions with Machine Learning - Peter Flach

Alan Turing Institute
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