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Climate Tipping Points
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Generic example of passing a tipping point
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Climate tipping elements
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Global Systems Institute
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Abrupt changes in CMIPS climate models
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Changing risk assessment of tipping points
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Global 'core' climate tripping elements
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Regional 'impact' climate tipping elements
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Coupling between tipping elements
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Monsoon instability ?
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Indian summer monsoon aerosol forcing
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Cascading abrupt change across systems: Onset of the Bolling-Allerod warm period
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Effect of a climate tipping point on GB agriculture
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The problem
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Critical slowing down
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End of the last ice age
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Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation AMOC modelled collapse
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'FAMOUS' AOGCM
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Where is the best early warning? How early is it?
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AMOC SST fingerprint
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Amazon rainforest
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Remotely sensing the changing resilience of the Amazon rainforest
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Loss of resilience of the Amazon rainforest
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Dependence on mean annual precipitation
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Distance from human activities
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West Amazon hu rainfall
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Summary
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Thanks for listening!
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Q&A
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Wrap Up
Description:
Explore climate tipping points in this comprehensive 58-minute lecture by Tim Lenton from the International Centre for Theoretical Sciences. Delve into the concept of critical transitions in complex systems, focusing on climate-related tipping elements. Examine global and regional climate tipping points, their interconnections, and potential cascading effects. Learn about early warning signals for tipping points, including critical slowing down and remotely sensed changes in ecosystem resilience. Analyze case studies on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and the Amazon rainforest. Gain insights into the latest research on climate tipping points and their implications for future climate change scenarios.

Climate Tipping Points by Tim Lenton

International Centre for Theoretical Sciences
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