How small choices and individual interactions lead to large, overarching structures
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THE VILLAGE ECODYNAMICS PROJECT
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Methods: Agent-based modeling and Network Analysis
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Why model?
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This research...
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The simulation...
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The simulation continued...
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The other data
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Discussion Model 1
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The question(s)
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WHAT IS A FOOD WEB?
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The research
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COMPOSITE FOOD WEB
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UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES: THE EFFECTS OF HUNTING
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UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES: THE EFFECTS OF FARMING
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PREY SWITCHING AND CONNECTIVITY
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ECOSYSTEM VULNERABILITY
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CHANGING PRECIPITATION PATTERNS
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A VULNERABLE POPULATION
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CONCLUSIONS
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A THANK YOU TO MY COLLABORATORS
Description:
Explore the complex factors behind the mysterious depopulation of Mesa Verde in this 48-minute lecture from the Santa Fe Institute. Delve into how complex adaptive systems approaches, including food web analysis and agent-based modeling, offer new insights into the 700-year occupation and ultimate abandonment of the Four Corners region by Ancestral Pueblo people. Examine the cascading effects of resource overuse, high human density, and a maize-centric food system in an environment susceptible to prolonged droughts. Gain a deeper understanding of how small individual choices led to large-scale structural changes, and how ecosystem vulnerability and changing precipitation patterns contributed to the perfect storm that necessitated migration or innovation for survival.
Complex Adaptive Systems and the Depopulation of Mesa Verde