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1
Introduction
2
Duncans background
3
Why do we treat social problems differently
4
Social problems are not hard
5
This is not rocket science
6
What is common sense
7
Everybody thinks they know what it is
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The problem
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Complex systems
10
Systemic errors
11
The American Soldier
12
Lazarus Feld
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The European Financial Crisis
14
We can always find
15
The Mona Lisa
16
The Scientific Method
17
Learn What You Can Predict
18
Build Strategies That Dont Rely on Predicting
19
The Halo Effect
20
The Future of Sociology
21
Conclusion
Description:
Explore the limitations of common sense in solving complex problems through this thought-provoking lecture by Duncan Watts, Principal Researcher at Microsoft. Delve into the systematic failures of relying on shared assumptions when addressing intricate issues in government, business, and marketing. Discover how questioning common sense can lead to more effective solutions as Watts, a physicist-turned-sociologist, presents compelling examples from various fields. Examine case studies such as The American Soldier, the European Financial Crisis, and the Mona Lisa to understand the pitfalls of conventional wisdom. Learn about the scientific method's application to social problems and strategies for dealing with unpredictability. Gain insights into the future of sociology and the importance of critical thinking in approaching complex systems.

The Myth of Common Sense- Why Everything that Seems Obvious Isn't

Santa Fe Institute
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