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DATE: Mon, 22 July 2019, 15:00 to
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Your Dreams May Come True with MTP2
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Motivation
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Positive dependence and MTP2 distributions
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Properties of MTP2 distribution
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No Yule-Simpson Paradox under MTP2!
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Discrete MTP2 distributions
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Example: EPH-gestosis
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Gaussian MTP 2 distributions
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Example: Stock prices
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MTP2 constraints are often implicit
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Example: EPH-gestosis
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Remainder of this talk: Density estimation under MTP2
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Negative dependence: What this talk is not about...
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MTP2 exponential families
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ML Estimation for Gaussian MTP2 distributions
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ML estimation for ferromagnetic MTP2 Ising models
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Density estimation
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Shape-constrained density estimation
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Log-concave density estimation
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Existence, uniqueness and shape of the MLE under MTP2
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Shape of the MLE
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Application: Portfolio selection
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Conclusions
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References
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I am recruiting...
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Conference on Genomes and Al
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Q&A
Description:
Explore the fascinating world of multivariate totally positive of order two (MTP2) probability distributions in this comprehensive colloquium talk. Delve into the intriguing properties of MTP2 distributions and their applications in various fields, from ferromagnetism to phylogenetics and finance. Learn about conditional independence, graphical models, and how maximum likelihood estimation for MTP2 exponential families leads to sparsity in Gaussian or Ising models without tuning parameters. Discover the challenges of non-parametric density estimation under MTP2 and its piecewise linear function solution. Gain insights into practical applications, including covariance matrix estimation for portfolio selection and learning gene regulatory networks. The talk covers motivation, theoretical foundations, examples, and concludes with an engaging Q&A session.

Your Dreams May Come True with MTP2 by Caroline Uhler

International Centre for Theoretical Sciences
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