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Using LLMs for Forecasting
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Video Overview
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Metaculus Bot Competition.
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Demo: How to forecast with an LLM.
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Lessons from the Berkeley Forecasting Paper.
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Advanced techniques.
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Caveats for Practical Decision-making: Probs vs Payoffs.
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Notebook Demo: Metaculus Bot Competition.
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Outro / Resources
Description:
Learn how to leverage Large Language Models (LLMs) for event prediction and forecasting in this 25-minute tutorial video. Explore practical demonstrations using a Colab notebook, understand the Metaculus Bot Competition framework, and discover key insights from Berkeley's forecasting research paper. Master advanced forecasting techniques while gaining awareness of important caveats for practical decision-making, including the relationship between probabilities and payoffs. Follow along with hands-on examples, access comprehensive resources including slides and research papers, and join a supportive community through Discord to enhance your forecasting capabilities with LLMs.

Predicting Events Using Large Language Models - A Practical Guide to AI Forecasting

Trelis Research
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