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1
Introduction
2
What is prediction
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Why predictive influence
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Prediction interval vs confidence interval
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Assumptionfree predictive influence
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Classes of methods
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Split conformal prediction
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Split conformal example
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CQR
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Full conformal prediction
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Jackknife interval
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Example
Description:
Explore assumption-free prediction intervals for black-box regression algorithms in this comprehensive seminar on Theoretical Machine Learning. Delve into the distinctions between prediction intervals and confidence intervals, and understand the importance of predictive influence. Examine various classes of methods, including split conformal prediction, with practical examples. Learn about Conformalized Quantile Regression (CQR) and full conformal prediction techniques. Discover the application of jackknife intervals through illustrative examples. Gain insights from speaker Aaditya Ramdas of Carnegie Mellon University as he presents cutting-edge research in this 1-hour 22-minute talk at the Institute for Advanced Study.

Assumption-Free Prediction Intervals for Black-Box Regression Algorithms - Aaditya Ramdas

Institute for Advanced Study
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